lodging forecast

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lodging forecast

Lodging Forecast 2019: Industry Threats Yet Growth

Robert A. Rauch, CHA | January 3, 2019

By Robert A. Rauch Reading forecast content from the plethora of prognosticators out there can drive one into craziness. Clearly, the current economy has strengths like consumer confidence, employment levels, low oil/gas prices, and purchasing managers sentiments as expressed by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM). Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has been growing at a strong 3 percent +/- rate and most pundits expect a 2-3 percent increase in revenue per available room (RevPAR), largely attributed to average daily rates (ADR). But there are warning signs—trade, interest rates, stock market turbulence, cost increases, new supply ...

Hotel Industry – Q4 2018 and Beyond

Robert A. Rauch | October 3, 2018

By Robert A. Rauch Many of us who attended The Lodging Conference this past month heard Bernard Baumohl, Chief Economist for the Conference Board, provide his economic forecast. He covered topics in his usual fast, effective and entertaining style. Some interesting takeaways were that business spending is not up much, oil is going to see oversupply and is up markedly due to politics (not the market), and GDP will be up 3 percent this year, 2.2 percent next year and 1.4 percent in 2020, according to the Consensus Forecast. Baumohl's concerns include President Trump, cyber warfare, geopolitical threats and a real need for corporate agilit...

Lodging Forecast 2016 by Bob Rauch

Bob Rauch | October 5, 2015

For the past several years we have put out our forecast for 2016 at the beginning of Q4 as we've had time to analyze the data and hear from industry experts at The Lodging Conference. This year's conference is this week and while there will be a lot of valuable data, 2015 was such a strong year that the indicators for 2016 give us enough confidence to already forecast for next year. Rest assured, I'll pepper my future articles with the insights gleaned from The Lodging Conference, one of our industry's most useful and successful events I might add, but waiting will only delay your planning for a successful 2016. According to UBS, a stro...

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