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Quantifying the Franchise Relationship During COVID-19
Robert Mandelbaum | August 8, 2022
By Robert Mandelbaum In 2020, the average hotel in CBRE’s annual Trends® in the Hotel Industry survey experienced a 108 percent decline in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), resulting in an EBITDA margin of -5.5 percent. For hotels, EBITDA represents the cash flows from operations that are used to fund debt service and provide returns to investors. This is by far the greatest decline in EBITDA since CBRE began tracking the performance of the U.S. lodging industry in the 1930s. Facing such traumatic declines in profitability and insolvency, hotel owners reached out to their lenders, investors...
Lodging Market Should Recover Fully by 2023
CBRE Group, Inc. | May 31, 2022
Drive-to and Leisure Hotels Continue to Perform Best Dallas – May 31, 2022 – CBRE is raising its forecasts of hotel performance for 2022 and beyond, based on Q1 2022 strength, continued slowing of construction activity, higher inflation and continued optimism about employment and economic growth. CBRE’s forecasts call for a full recovery in average daily rate (ADR) in 2022 and in demand and revenue per available room (RevPAR) in 2023. Despite headwinds from the Omicron variant, Q1 RevPAR reached $72.20, up 61 percent from year earlier. RevPAR growth was driven by a 39 percent increase in ADR)and a 16 percent increase in occupancy. ...
Hotel Property Taxes – An Opportunity to Cut a Cost
Robert Mandelbaum | May 26, 2022
By Robert Mandelbaum and Mark Whitney According to the March 2022 edition of CBRE’s Hotel Horizons® national forecast report, the total revenue for a typical U.S. hotel is not expected to return to pre-COVID 2019 nominal dollars until 2023. Accordingly, hotel owners and operators continue to seek ways to control expenses. One potential reduction opportunity is property taxes. Based on a sample of 3,400 hotels from CBRE’s Trends® in the Hotel Industry database, U.S. hotel property tax expenditures declined by 13.0% from 2020 to 2021. This decline put 2021 property taxes 9.9% below 2019 levels. Unfortunately, this compares u...
Hotel Insurance – A Largely Uncontrollable Cost
Robert Mandelbaum | April 19, 2022
To analyze recent changes in hotel insurance costs, and the factors that influence those changes, we examined the operating statements of 3,156 U.S. hotels that reported insurance expenses for the Trends® survey each year from 2015 through 2021 (estimated). By Robert Mandelbaum & Tom Cleary In 2020 and 2021, U.S. hotel operators did a praiseworthy job controlling expenses to offset the significant declines in revenue. Based on data from CBRE’s Trends® in the Hotel Industry survey of annual operating statements from thousands of properties across the U.S., not only have we seen a reduction in the variable expenses associated wi...
CBRE Forecasts Continued Hotel Recovery in 2022 Despite Increasing Risks
CBRE Group, Inc. | March 21, 2022
Dallas, TX – March 21, 2022 – CBRE Hotels Research has raised its forecast for 2022 average daily rate (ADR), Occupancy and Revenue per available room (RevPAR) to reflect the stronger-than-expected fundamental performance in the fourth quarter. Other factors contributing to the improvement include below-average supply growth, strong domestic leisure trends, the resumption of inbound international travel and a predicted return to office later this year. CBRE made the changes despite heightened uncertainty and increasingly limited visibility due to geopolitical risks and inflationary pressure. CBRE now forecasts RevPAR to reach 2019 no...
CBRE Forecasts Continued Hotel Recovery in 2022 Despite Increasing Risks
CBRE Group | March 17, 2022
Dallas, TX – March 17, 2022 – CBRE Hotels Research has raised its forecast for 2022 average daily rate (ADR), Occupancy and Revenue per available room (RevPAR) to reflect the stronger-than-expected fundamental performance in the fourth quarter. Other factors contributing to the improvement include below-average supply growth, strong domestic leisure trends, the resumption of inbound international travel and a predicted return to office later this year. CBRE made the changes despite heightened uncertainty and increasingly limited visibility due to geopolitical risks and inflationary pressure. CBRE now forecasts RevPAR to reach 2019 no...
Investing in Training Hotel Employees
Robert Mandelbaum | February 1, 2022
By Robert Mandelbaum Given the challenges U.S. hotels are having attracting and retaining employees, the need to invest in employee training is as great as it has ever been. Unfortunately, training expenditures, like all operating expenses, have been subject to major cuts in response to the extremely reduced levels of revenue incurred during 2020 and 2021. Labor is the single biggest expense within a hotel. In 2019, before COVID-19, the average property in our Trends® in the Hotel Industry survey sample spent 31.3 percent of its total revenue, or 42.4 percent of its total expenses, on labor costs. This includes the salaries, wages, ...
CBRE Expects Lodging Revenue Per Available Room Recovery by Mid-2023
CBRE Group, Inc. | December 15, 2021
Dallas, TX – December 15, 2021 – Average daily rate (ADR) gains and a 35.1% year-over-year increase in hotel occupancy in Q3 showed demand for U.S. hotel stays endured in the face of the Delta variant. Continued improvement in domestic travel and the rollback of many international travel restrictions have led CBRE to revise its forecast significantly upward in the near- and medium-term. Revenue per available room (RevPAR) is now forecast to reach 2019 nominal levels by the second half of 2023, rather than in 2024, as previously forecasted. Still, the identification of the Omicron variant and ongoing concerns about the pandemic continue ...
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