HVS Market Pulse: Sacramento, CA
October 22, 2018 11:58am
By John Berean, Li Chen
The Sacramento metropolitan area includes seven counties in California: Sacramento, Yolo, El Dorado, Placer, Sutter, Yuba, and Nevada. The area is home to a wide variety of higher-education institutions, including two major public universities, many private and community colleges, and vocational schools. Healthcare is also an important component of the economy, with organizations including Kaiser Permanente, Sutter Health, Vision Service Plan, Catholic Healthcare West, and the Sacramento VA Medical Center. In addition, the UC Davis Medical Center, a world-renowned research hospital, is in Sacramento.
Sacramento is experiencing a period of economic expansion, concurrent with growth in the healthcare sector and local development projects. Unemployment in the greater market has continued to decline since the recession, closing out 2017 at 4.5%, down from 5.3% in 2016, and was slightly lower than the state average in the California. Meanwhile, airlift in the Sacramento area has also improved, with significant year-over-year increases in passenger traffic at the Sacramento International Airport (SMF). Major indicators for the second quarter of 2018 reflect a continuation of these trends, which bodes well for the market’s lodging industry.
Downtown Commons (DoCo)
The Sacramento area has enjoyed strengthening and economic expansion in recent years, with new development centered on Downtown Sacramento. Downtown Commons (DoCo), formerly known as Sacramento Downtown Plaza, Westfield Downtown Plaza, and Downtown Plaza, is a 1.5-million-square-foot, mixed-use entertainment and shopping complex. Encompassing six square blocks, the complex is anchored by Macy’s, 24-Hour-Fitness, Century Theatres, and the Golden 1 Center. Opened in September 2016, the Golden 1 Center is home of the NBA’s Sacramento Kings. As the first new, LEED-Platinum-certified indoor arena in the United States, the venue has hosted numerous concerts, conventions, and other sporting and entertainment events.
Amazon Fulfillment Center
Amazon launched its new fulfillment center in October 2017. The 855,000-square-foot distribution site is located at Metro Air Park near the Sacramento International Airport. The company’s eleventh fulfillment center in California is expected to eventually employ roughly 1,500 people when operating at full capacity. The distribution center also features robotic technology to assist in moving products.
The Sacramento Railyards is a major urban infill project that covers approximately 244 acres between Sacramento’s downtown Central Business District and River District. Over the next 15 to 20 years, the master-planned development is expected to include up to 12,000 housing units, 2,900,000 square feet of office space, 1,900,000 square feet of retail space, a hotel, and other commercial uses, as well as 41 acres of parks and open space. In addition, the Railyards is also anticipated to feature a 1.3-million-square-foot Kaiser Permanente flagship medical center campus. Furthermore, the Sacramento City Council has approved plans for a $226-million, 25,000-seat stadium if Sacramento Republic FC secures a franchise with Major League Soccer (MLS).
Convention Center Expansion
The Sacramento Convention Center, located in the heart of Downtown Sacramento, was expanded in 1996. It is equivalent in size to the convention centers of other second- and third-tier cities, such as Long Beach and Santa Clara. The Sacramento Convention Center includes 134,000 square feet of contiguous exhibit space, 31 meeting rooms, an outdoor garden terrace adjacent to an elegant 24,000-square-foot ballroom, and two separate 10,000-square-foot registration/pre-function areas. The complex also includes the 3,849-seat Memorial Auditorium, the 2,422-seat Community Center Theater, and the 272-seat Jean Runyon Little Theater.
Source: City of Sacramento
In 2013, the Sacramento Convention and Visitors Bureau considered a $200-million expansion; however, despite business advocates pressing for a bigger renovation, plans were scaled down to a $125-million expansion to be completed in multiple phases. In May 2017, the Sacramento City Council approved plans to expand the convention center to 205,000 square feet, inclusive of new exhibit space, meeting rooms, lobbies, and kitchen facilities. A second phase could include a new, 40,000-square-foot ballroom, as well as a 300- to 400-room hotel adjacent to the expanded center. In June 2018, a report from the Sacramento City Council revealed that the price tag for the project had grown to between $220 and $234 million based on latest cost estimates. At the request of local hotel owners, the timeline for construction on the $40-million ballroom has been pushed to Phase I, with financing anticipated to be provided by area hotels through the establishment of an assessment district. In June 2018, the City of Sacramento approved a final environmental impact report (EIR), inclusive of preliminary architectural drawings. Construction is anticipated to begin in February 2019, with the convention center closed between July 2019 and November 2020; the completion is tentatively scheduled for March 2021.
Kaiser Permanente Downtown Facilities
In 2014, Kaiser Permanente purchased the six-story Sacramento Corporate Center, located across the street from DoCo, for approximately $40 million. The former 200,000-square-foot office building reopened in June 2018 as medical offices and an outpatient clinic.
University of California, Davis – Aggie Square
UC Davis Chancellor Gary May and Sacramento Mayor Darrell Steinberg announced a partnership in April 2018 to build a 25-acre campus along Stockton Boulevard, bordering Oak Park. A prospective extension of UC Davis, Aggie Square is envisioned to incorporate research labs, education facilities, retail space, and housing as part of a two-million-square-foot research campus and industry innovation center. While a timeline for construction has yet to be announced, the development is anticipated to span many years.
New Lodging Supply
According to Smith Travel Research (STR), the greater Sacramento County lodging market encompasses nearly 150 open and operating lodging facilities totaling roughly 15,000 guestrooms. These figures reflect a large inventory of smaller, economy-scale hotels; approximately 50% of these properties offer fewer than 100 rooms. Following the last recession, no hotels opened in the greater market between January 2010 and May 2015. Since then, the market’s performance metrics have improved given the state budget surplus, increases in government per-diem rates, a lack of new competitive supply, and stronger overall hotel demand levels. As such, there has been a growing interest in new hotel development. Adaptive reuse of existing buildings into boutique hotels is the predominate lodging product proposed for development in Downtown Sacramento, while branded midscale, upscale, and extended-stay products have been proposed for the surrounding submarkets; these proposals mirror nationwide trends. Some notable projects recently opened or currently under construction include the following:
Over 3,700 New Rooms Could Open in Sacramento through 2020
The Sacramento area is supported by a number of major employers and institutions that provide a solid foundation for the local economy. In addition, the recent opening of the Golden 1 Center is supporting renewed growth in the city's downtown core. Various planned projects, including the expansion of the Sacramento Convention Center, are also expected to bode well for the market; as such, the overall outlook is optimistic.
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John Berean, a Senior Project Manager with HVS San Francisco, conducts hotel appraisals and feasibility studies in markets across the western U.S.; John is the firm's Hawaii expert. HVS leaders now live in and work from markets throughout the western Americas region, including San Diego, LA, San Francisco, Portland, Seattle, Vancouver, Las Vegas, and Phoenix. John’s hands-on hospitality experience includes work as Accounts Coordinator and Revenue Analyst for the Queen Kapiolani Hotel in Honolulu, Hawaii. John earned a Masters of Economics, with a concentration in Quantitative Finance, from the Peking University HSBC Business School in Shenzhen, China. He previously majored in International Studies, with a minor in Environmental Studies, at Middlebury College in Middlebury, Vermont. Contact John at +1 (281) 381-3456 or email@example.com.
Li Chen, MAI is a Vice President with the HVS Los Angeles office. HVS leaders now live in and work from 40 markets throughout the North American region, including San Diego, LA, San Francisco, Portland, Seattle, Vancouver, Las Vegas, and Phoenix in the West. Li earned her Master's degree from Michigan State University's Eli Broad College of Business and has extensive hotel experience, including front office and accounting department experience at the Renaissance LAX. Li travels and works extensively in the southwestern U.S. for the Los Angeles team. Contact Li at (310) 755-8293 or firstname.lastname@example.org.
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