HENDERSONVILLE, Tennessee, and MILWAUKEE—The Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index dropped 5.8% in May to a level of 5,584. Year to date through the first five months of 2022, the stock index has decreased 2.8%.
“Hotel stocks declined in May amid the broader stock market volatility as investors grew concerned about macroeconomic slowing and inflationary pressures, among other risks and uncertainties,” said Michael Bellisario, senior hotel research analyst and director at Baird. “Hotel fundamentals have continued to improve and are showing no signs of slowing; the demand recovery is broadening, the harder-hit urban markets are rebounding, and midweek business travel is coming back at a strong pace. Despite the positive fundamental momentum, investors remain a bit skeptical and are focused on the health of the consumer amid a slowing growth backdrop.”
“Despite macroeconomic uncertainty, consumer spending on travel and hotel rooms has continued,” said Amanda Hite, STR president. “In-person graduation ceremonies drove May performance in many university-based markets, such as New York City, which reached an occupancy level of nearly 90% – its busiest week of the pandemic-era. Leisure markets continue to show strong performance levels, with room rate growth as the prominent bright spot for the industry. Our latest forecast, released early last week at NYU, upgraded the recovery timeline for nominal RevPAR. We expect both nominal ADR and RevPAR to surpass 2019 levels in 2022. Due to increases in new supply and slower corporate demand recovery, occupancy is not forecasted to reach 2019 levels until 2024.”
In May, the Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index fell behind the S&P 500 (flat) but surpassed the MSCI US REIT Index (-6.3%).
The Hotel Brand sub-index fell 6.0% from April to 9,924, while the Hotel REIT sub-index dipped 4.9% to 1,288.
About the Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index and Sub-Indices
The Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index was set to equal 1,000 on 1 January 2000. Last cycle, the Index peaked at 3,178 on 5 July 2007. The Index’s low point occurred on 6 March 2009 when it dropped to 573.
The Hotel Brand sub-index was set to equal 1,000 on 1 January 2000. Last cycle, the sub-index peaked at 3,407 on 5 July 2007. The sub-index’s low point occurred on 6 March 2009 when it dropped to 722.
The Hotel REIT sub-index was set to equal 1,000 on 1 January 2000. Last cycle, the sub-index peaked at 2,555 on 2 February 2007. The sub-index’s low point occurred on 5 March 2009 when it dropped to 298.
The Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index and sub-indices are available exclusively on Hotel News Now. The indices are cobranded and were created by Robert W. Baird & Co. (Baird) and STR. The market-cap-weighted, price-only indices comprise 20 of the largest market-capitalization hotel companies publicly traded on a U.S. exchange and attempt to characterize the performance of hotel stocks. The Index and sub-indices are maintained by Baird and hosted on Hotel News Now, are not actively managed, and no direct investment can be made in them.
As of 31 May 2022, the companies that comprised the Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index included: Apple Hospitality REIT, Ashford Hospitality Trust, Chatham Lodging Trust, Choice Hotels International, DiamondRock Hospitality Company, Hersha Hospitality Trust, Hilton Inc., Host Hotels & Resorts, Hyatt Hotels, InterContinental Hotels Group, Marriott International, Park Hotels & Resorts, Inc., Pebblebrook Hotel Trust, RLJ Lodging Trust, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Service Properties Trust, Summit Hotel Properties, Sunstone Hotel Investors, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, and Xenia Hotels & Resorts.
This communication is not a call to action to engage in a securities transaction and has not been individually tailored to a specific client or targeted group of clients. Research reports on the companies identified in this communication are provided by Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, and are available to clients through their Baird Financial Advisor. This communication does not provide recipients with information or advice that is sufficient on which to base an investment decision. This communication does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or need of any particular client and may not be suitable for all types of investors. Recipients should consider the contents of this communication as a single factor in making an investment decision. Additional fundamental and other analyses would be required to make an investment decision about any individual security identified in this release.