Hotel Online  Special Report

Year-to-date Occupancy Through
April is 50.4% for All of Canada 
.
CANADIAN LODGING OUTLOOK
April 2003 Year-to-Date

The Canadian Lodging Outlook is a joint monthly publication 
of Smith Travel Research and HVS International, 
Vancouver and Toronto, Canada

 
By: Elizabeth D. MacDonald, MAI, AACI - HVS International - Canada

Year-to-date occupancy through April is 50.4% for all of Canada, compared to 52.4% for the same period last year. Good news, the average room rate is up, at $105.07 year-to-date 2003, compared to $103.32 for the same period last year.  Occupancy is down in the United States (US) as well; year-to-date through April occupancy was 55.7% compared to 56.9% for the same period in 2002. Interestingly enough, the average room rate in the US has declined compared to an increase in the average room rate in Canada. 

The average room rate in the US for the first four months was $84.31, compared to $85.07 for the same four months in 2002. Randy Smith of Smith Travel Research has commented on the positive room rate integrity in Canada, as compared to the continuing decline in the US. 

Two major Canadian cities are actually reporting increases in occupancy and room night demand. Halifax year-to-date is reporting a market occupancy of 59.5%, compared to 57.7% for the same period last year. The city also reported an increase in room night demand of 8.2% as well as an increase in room supply of 5.0%. Average room rate was $106.56, compared to $100.31 for the same four months in 2002.

Ottawa is also reporting an increased in occupancy at 57.9% for the first four months of 2003, compared to 56.8% for the same period in 2002.  Room night demand was up 3.1%, and the rooms supply was up 1.3%. The average room rate was $125.34 as compared to $124.43 for the same period in 2002.

The market with the highest occupancy through April 2003 was the Toronto Airport at 64.5%. This was a decline from 2002 when occupancy was reported at 65.2%. The average room rate in this market declined to $109.85 compared to $113.53 for the same period in 2002.  The market with the second highest occupancy was Edmonton at 61.5%, also down from 73.0% for the same period the last year. The good news, is the average room rate increased in Edmonton to $96.73 from $89.84.  Not surprisingly, Downtown Toronto reported a 9.3% decline in room night demand for the first four months.  Occupancy was reported at 54.0% year-to-date, compared to 59.5% for the same period in 2002. Revenue per available room (RevPAR) was reported at $77.67 for the first four months, compared to $89.42 in 2002, a decline of over 13.0%.

Markets that appear to be holding their own in terms of RevPAR include Quebec City, Regina/Saskatoon, Calgary, and Victoria. The largest RevPAR in the country continues to be the Alberta Mountain Region at $95.17, even with a decline in room night demand of 6.3%.

CANADIAN LODGING OUTLOOK
HVS INTERNATIONAL - CANADA
April 2003 Year-to-Date
April 2003
Year to Date
Number
of Rooms
Occupancy Rate 2003 Occupancy Rate 2002 Average Room Rate 2003 Average Room Rate 2002 RevPAR 2003 RevPAR 2002 Room Supply % Change Room Demand % Change
Nova Scotia Area 1,528 48.1% 48.6% $75.30 $73.37 $36.22 $35.66 0.0% -1.0%
Halifax, NS 2,077 59.5% 57.7% $106.56 $100.31 $63.40 $57.88 5.0% 8.2%
Montreal, QC 14,240 56.1% 57.1% $127.80 $127.35 $71.70 $72.72 0.5% -1.4%
Quebec City, QC 3,590 54.2% 54.6% $112.18 $109.36 $60.80 $59.71 0.0% -0.7%
Quebec Area 3,347 48.5% 47.2% $84.26 $79.98 $40.87 $37.75 0.0% 2.8%
Toronto Downtown 11,467 54.0% 59.5% $143.84 $150.29 $77.67 $89.42 0.0% -9.3%
Toronto North/East 6,633 47.2% 51.8% $107.52 $109.09 $50.75 $56.51 6.9% -2.7%
Toronto Airport/West 6,280 64.5% 65.2% $109.85 $113.53 $70.85 $74.02 -1.9% -2.9%
Ottawa, ON 7,652 57.9% 56.8% $125.34 $124.43 $72.57 $70.68 1.3% 3.1%
Ontario East 3,670 45.9% 46.9% $85.95 $82.81 $39.45 $38.84 0.1% -2.0%
Ontario Southwest 7,240 55.9% 54.9% $94.34 $93.19 $52.74 $51.16 0.4% 2.1%
Ontario North 4,947 50.3% 48.8% $85.03 $82.65 $42.77 $40.33 0.3% 3.5%
Niagara Falls, ON 6,298 41.0% 41.8% $91.07 $92.61 $37.34 $38.71 0.0% -2.0%
Ontario Central 7,468 52.5% 54.6% $98.17 $95.88 $51.54 $52.35 2.3% -1.6%
Winnipeg, MB 3,503 54.2% 57.6% $90.66 $89.05 $49.14 $51.29 2.5% -3.7%
Regina/Saskatoon, SK 3,608 57.2% 57.9% $86.97 $83.54 $49.75 $48.37 0.0% -1.3%
Calgary, AB 5,234 54.2% 54.5% $111.16 $111.36 $60.25 $60.69 0.0% -0.5%
Edmonton, AB 4,496 61.1% 73.0% $96.73 $89.84 $59.10 $65.58 1.1% -15.4%
Alberta Area 7,771 55.0% 57.5% $87.89 $86.69 $48.34 $49.85 1.8% -2.7%
Mountain Regions, AB 1,942 55.9% 59.7% $170.25 $153.57 $95.17 $91.68 0.0% -6.3%
Vancouver, BC 12,192 51.8% 53.7% $110.25 $111.90 $57.11 $60.09 0.0% -3.6%
British Columbia Area 6,547 52.8% 53.7% $173.12 $167.79 $91.41 $90.10 1.2% -0.5%
Victoria, BC 2,728 51.6% 53.6% $94.54 $90.66 $48.78 $48.59 -0.3% -4.1%
Provinces
Alberta 19,443 56.4% 60.8% $105.00 $100.61 $59.22 $61.17 1.2% -6.2%
British Columbia 22,747 51.9% 53.6% $124.87 $123.64 $64.81 $66.27 0.5% -2.7%
Manitoba 3,766 54.0% 57.8% $90.13 $87.76 $48.67 $50.73 2.1% -4.6%
New Brunswick 2,888 54.9% 52.5% $84.94 $84.93 $46.63 $44.59 0.4% 5.1%
Newfoundland 1,521 52.1% 56.3% $99.12 $98.09 $51.64 $55.22 0.0% -7.4%
Nova Scotia 3,605 54.7% 54.0% $95.01 $90.40 $51.97 $48.82 1.4% 2.8%
Northwest Territories INS INS INS INS INS INS INS INS INS
Ontario 60,693 52.8% 54.7% $110.34 $112.41 $58.26 $61.49 0.8% -2.6%
Prince Edward Island 889 34.2% 34.8% $64.19 $65.32 $21.95 $22.73 0.0% -1.7%
Quebec 22,139 54.4% 54.5% $118.99 $117.74 $64.73 $64.17 0.2% 0.0%
Saskatchewan 4,984 51.8% 53.0% $81.59 $78.38 $42.26 $41.54 0.0% -2.2%
Yukon Territory 181 INS INS INS INS INS INS INS INS
Canada 142,856 50.4% 52.4% $105.07 $103.32 $52.96 $54.14 0.7% -3.1%
© Smith Travel Research, 2003. Reproduction or quotation in whole or in part without permission is forbidden.
*INS - Insufficient Data
SALIM GULAMANI MOVES TO TORONTO
We are pleased to announce thatn our senior associate Salim Gulamani has transferred to our Toronto office. He can be reached at 416- 686-2260 ext. 22. He joins other members of the Toronto office including Monique Rosszell and Selina Lai.

VANCOUVER UPDATE
We have hired two new associates in Vancouver, Rena Ryhorchuk and Jason McKay. Both are University of Calgary graduates with bachelor degrees in Hotel and Resort Management. They can be reached at 604-988-9743, ext. 23 for Rena and ext. 22 for Jason. They join other members of the Vancouver office including Betsy MacDonald,
Carrie Russell, and Kimberley Tyls.


 
Contact:
Selina Lai
HVS International � Canada
2120 Queen St. East, Suite 202
Toronto, ON M42 1E2
(416) 686-2260, ext 21
(416) 686-2264 FAX
[email protected]
www.hvsinternational.com

Also See SARS and Its Impact on Tourism in Toronto / Canadian Lodging Outlook - March 2003 YTD / May 2003
Hotel Values in Europe - Current Trends / Canadian Lodging Outlook - December 2002 Year-to-Date / Feb 2003
2002 Canadian Hotel Transaction Survey / Canadian Lodging Outlook / Feb 2003
Performance Clauses Essential In Hotel Management Contract / Stephen Rushmore / Canadian Lodging Outlook / Dec 2002
Separating the Hotel Looker From the Hotel Buyer / Stephen Rushmore / Canadian Lodging Outlook / Sept 2002
Making The Ideal Hotel Investment / Stephen Rushmore / Canadian Lodging Outlook / Aug 2002
Reporting In at Six Months..../ Canadian Lodging Outlook / July 2002
The Global Approach To Hotel Valuations / Canadian Lodging Outlook / June 2002
Hotel Insurance Premiums on the Rise? / Canadian Lodging Outlook / May 2002 
Hotel Development Cost Can Determine Feasibility / Canadian Lodging Outlook / May 2002 
Hotel Internet Distribution Channels / January 2002 Month-to-Date Results / Canadian Lodging Outlook / April 2002 
2001 Was a Great Year If You Were in Edmonton! / December 2001 Year-to-Date Results / Canadian Lodging Outlook / Feb 2002 
2001 Canadian Hotel Sales / Canadian Lodging Outlook / Jan 2002 
The Effect on Capitalization Rates and Discount Factors After September 11 / Canadian Lodging Outlook / Dec 2001 
So How Bad Was September for Canadian Hotels.. Pretty Bad! / Nov 2001
So How Bad Was September for Canadian Hotels.. Pretty Bad! / The Canadian Lodging Outlook / September 2001 
Have Hotel Values in Canada Declined Since September 11th? You Bet They Have / The Canadian Lodging Outlook / August 2001 
The Popularity of Boutique Hotels / The Canadian Lodging Outlook / July 2001 
Rising Energy Costs Cause Concern in the Lodging Industry / The Canadian Lodging Outlook / June 2001 
Niagara Falls: With Supply Comes Demand / The Canadian Lodging Outlook / May 2001 
Does Supply Generate Demand? / The Canadian Lodging Outlook / May 2001 
Optimism With a Hint of Caution, As Analysts Predict a Softer Year for the Canadian Hotel Industry / Mar 2001 
Limited-Service Growth in Canada - Where�s it Going? / The Canadian Lodging Outlook / January 2001 
HVS Canada in Review - Year End 2000 / The Canadian Lodging Outlook / March 2001 
Canadian Lodging Outlook / May 2000 Year to Date Statistics / HVS International - Canada / July 2000 
The Rule of Thumb Method...Does It Still Hold Weight? / Elaine Sahlins - HVS / Oct 2000
What�s Hot and What�s Not in Western Canadian Hotel Markets / Mar 2000


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