Hotel Online Special Report

advertisement
 U.S. Hotel Occupancy to Fall to 60.5% for the Year; 
Lowest Since 1991, Ernst & Young Projects 
NEW YORK - Oct. 8, 2001--Due to the recent events following the Sept. 11 attacks in New York and Washington D.C., the Hospitality Services Group of Ernst & Young has revised its growth and profitability forecasts for the U.S lodging industry in 2001.
    
Ernst & Young's original 2001 forecast (January 2001) included a projected growth in the national Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR), a key indicator of how hotels are performing, of 3.7 percent or $56.33. This estimate has now been revised, in light of continued reductions in business and leisure travel. Ernst & Young now projects a RevPAR decline of 5.2 percent for 2001, for an overall 2001 RevPAR of $51.
    
Another key indicator of how the industry is performing is the national average occupancy. The projected 2001 occupancy rate of 63.7 percent was already lower than 2000 due to reductions in business travel. However, Ernst & Young projects national average occupancy to fall an additional 3.2 percent to 60.5 percent for the year. This occupancy figure is the lowest in ten years, when during the Gulf War occupancy dropped to 61.8 percent.

National Director of Ernst & Young's Hospitality Services Group, Chase Burritt says times are looking tough. "The industry finds itself in a great challenge. Most of our clients are projecting significant revenue declines and cost overruns. The combination of the economic slowdown and tragic events of September 11 have led to the worst occupancy rates we've seen in ten years," said Burritt.
    
Burritt expects business travel to be the first area to recover. One of the bigger losses during the month of September was the loss of conventions that canceled and did not reschedule. Conventions should be going ahead on schedule for the rest of the year and with and business travel should slowly resume. Burritt also says that many hotel operators may have to offer lower room rates and the Average Daily Rate (ADR) across the country will likely fall to $85 by the end of the year. (ADR for 2001 was originally forecasted at $88.)
    
Ernst & Young's Hospitality Services Group of E&Y is one of the largest hospitality consulting practices in the world. As industry experts for more than 25 years, E&Y provides timely research and analysis of worldwide industry movements, along with a full range of related client services covering lodging, tourism, finance, operations and a coordinated delivery of advisory, tax and audit solutions for markets in North America, Europe and Asia.

 

###

Contact:
Ernst & Young Hospitality Services Group
Chase Burritt, 305/415-1650
[email protected]

Also See Miami Area Hotels Enjoy the Highest Hotel Occupancy Rate of the Nation's 25 Top Markets for the First Five Months of 2001 / July 2001 


To search Hotel Online data base of News and Trends Go to Hotel.Online Search

Home | Welcome! | Hospitality News | Classifieds | Catalogs & Pricing | Viewpoint Forum | Ideas/Trends
Please contact Hotel.Online with your comments and suggestions.