| April 2000
Egypt: A market profile
From the Arthur Andersen Hotel Industry Benchmark Survey - Middle East
and North Africa edition
Tourism sector recovered
Hotels in Egypt can look back on a successful 1999 and
all markets, with the exception of Luxor, exceeded occupancies and average
rates achieved before the Luxor massacre in 1997. The Red Sea resorts are
popular once again and Nile cruises are also showing a marked increase
with operators reintroducing cruises on Lake Nasser. Growth looks set to
continue following the government’s open skies policy introduced in January
2000 which allows international airlines to operate scheduled flights directly
to resorts. As a result, the number of tourists is estimated to reach eight
million by 2005.
Alexandria on the verge of success
From being a predominantly domestic resort, Alexandria
is becoming a sought-after international destination with improved infrastructure
and upgrading of facilities by the local authorities. The city is attracting
both local and international corporate business as well as an increased
demand for meetings and incentives, representing a cheaper alternative
to Cairo. These factors have contributed to the upward trend in both occupancy
and average rate over the past year, which the industry looks set to build
on.
Occupancy boost drives yield in Cairo
Cairo’s hotel market was least affected by the decline
in tourist arrivals in 1998 due to its high share of corporate guests.
Nevertheless, increasing tourists arrivals, healthy economic growth and
new large joint ventures have secured an occupancy increase exceeding 20
percent whilst average rates have remained at 1998 levels due to an agreement
between major hotels to freeze corporate rates. The higher increase in
occupancy in the hotels near the Pyramids is a result of their business
mix, which is predominantly tourism related and was badly affected following
the Luxor incident.
Revival of the masses in Hurghada
Hurghada has finally managed to get back on its feet with
many hotels doubling both occupancy and thus rooms yield in 1999. The Red
Sea resort has become the most popular mass-market destination in the Middle
East. There are now an estimated 15,000 hotel rooms catering to price-sensitive
travellers which command clear market superiority in a regional context.
With the one million visitor barrier expected to be broken by 2000, Hurghada
hoteliers are gearing up for a very strong year.
Full recovery in sight in Luxor
Luxor has made great strides following the devastating
effects on tourism as a result of the 1997 massacre. Whilst operators have
been cautious to minimise increased rates in an effort to stimulate demand,
occupancy levels saw a 98 percent growth on 1998 and averaged 53 percent
in 1999. Building on this success, 2000 looks set to show further improvement.
Sharm el-Sheikh bouncing back
Average room rates proved to be resilient over the past
year although several new hotel projects came on-line in 1999 and the beginning
of 2000. Hoteliers report low resistance from tour operators and FITs and
therefore expect further rate hikes for 2000 supported by the improving
quality of hotel stock. Further successful positioning in the international
market place, however, also depends on the government’s ability to upgrade
the town’s infrastructure, including the existing airport, which currently
operates near capacity.
New supply across all of Egypt
Whilst new supply in Alexandria is limited, Cairo is experiencing
a boom in hotel supply following no change in international quality stock
since 1987. The Conrad International, which opened in 1999, is the first
of many major new projects. In response, many older properties are expected
to start major refurbishment programmes in order to remain competitive.
Several hotel projects are also expected in Cairo’s suburban
areas. These new communities include Beverly Hills, Dreamland and the sixth
of October City. International operators such as Accor, Bass Hotels &
Resorts, Hilton, Marriott and Starwood are all due to open new hotels during
2000 or 2001 and believe they can be successful in attracting tourists
in particular to these newly populated areas.
In order to satisfy increasing demand for quality resorts
in natural surroundings, integrated resort communities such as Sahl Hasheesh
and Soma Bay are on the rise south of Hurghada, stretching as far as Mersa
Alam. This phenomenon started with the development of the El Gouna resort
north of Hurghada and is expected to eventually dominate regional tourism.
Similar projects are underway in the South Sinai, notably Taba Heights
near the Israeli border.
The first new supply Luxor has seen in many years is set
to come on-line in 2002 with two new properties presently under construction.
Operators are confident of a promising year ahead whilst the Nile cruise
business also regains its former popularity.
Sharm el-Sheikh is Egypt’s pride as the little town on
the Gulf of Aqaba has managed to emerge from an unknown dive site to a
truly unique tourist destination today. From just two hotels in 1987, Sharm
el-Sheikh now boasts around 10,000 hotel rooms, the latest addition being
the 433-room Hyatt. The number of rooms is expected to double within the
next two years as growing demand from European source markets further fuels
development.
Maintaining the environment
Sharm el-Sheikh’s popularity in European source markets
is based on the government’s strict environmental policy applied along
the coast to protect the environment. The government has learnt from past
mistakes. Hurghada in particular is a negative example of uncontrolled
development resulting in the destruction of almost all coral reefs and
with it all efforts to create an upmarket destination. As such, the application
of strict construction guidelines and environmental laws have made Sharm
el-Sheikh a quality alternative destination to Hurghada for which tourists
are willing to pay a premium.
Outlook
The planned development of the mixed-use San Stefano complex,
including a Four Seasons hotel, on the site of the former San Stefano hotel
will put Alexandria in the international spotlight. The city is undergoing
a major image change, stimulated by the recent international attention
following the discovery of significant architectural artefacts, and should
look forward to growing visitation.
In Cairo, city centre hotels look set to continue to out-perform
the rest of the Cairo market in coming years. However, as the downtown
area becomes more congested and surrounding new communities begin offering
a better product for offices, residences and hotels, Cairo’s main hotel
market may see a shift.
Although Hurghada will see an additional 2,800 rooms enter
the market this year, increased demand suggests they are likely to absorb
frustrated demand from price-sensitive European travellers. Hoteliers in
Hurghada are certainly keen to sustain this trend and realise that in order
to do so they must remain competitive with Mediterranean destinations such
as Turkey, Cyprus and Greece in terms of pricing.
Luxor was hardest hit by the Egyptian tourism crisis in
1998 and is still recovering. However, backed by the phenomenal growth
of the tourism industry in Egypt generally and nearby Hurghada in particular,
visitors to some of the world’s most spectacular heritage sites are bound
to return in ever growing numbers.
Hoteliers in Sharm el-Sheikh report strong reservations
on the books for 2000. It appears that the town is well on its way to becoming
an established quality resort destination in its own right with international
hotel operators such as Sheraton, Hyatt, Crowne Plaza, Four Seasons and
Ritz Carlton all with the ability to move the destination further up-market.
New names will emerge in tourist brochures, including
Taba and Nuweiba in the South Sinai and Mersa Alam on the Red Sea which,
supported by the new open skies policy, should further drive the relentless
growth of Egypt as a prime international tourist destination.
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