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 Australia Update: Asian Inbound Recovers as 
North Asian Investment Retreats
Major Australian Markets' Performance December Quarter 1999
Sydney, May 18, 2000 �  International visitors to Australia from Other Asia are set to rise according to official government forecasts. After a 20.0% decline in 1998, the forecast 11.4% pa growth for the next decade reflects the increasingly stable economic and political conditions in the region. �Demand recovery is anticipated to be greatest from China, Thailand and Indonesia, so markets that currently receive a high level of business from this sector, such as Melbourne, are positioned to benefit most from this growth,� said David Gibson, Managing Director of Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels.

Economic recovery in Asia and a stronger domestic economy is expected to result in growth of domestic business travel. �Markets catering to business travellers such as Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane are expected to receive the greatest benefit of the predicted 4.6% per annum growth� continued Mr Gibson.

Despite these signs of market recovery, Australia continues to witness the global trend of North Asian asset divestment, according to Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels Digest update. Already this year North Asian vendors have constituted 86.2% of the $253 million worth of hotels sold. One such sale included Sumitomo Realty�s disposal of  the Hotel Nikko, Sydney to General Property Trust. So far in 2000 total sales comprised 1,498 rooms achieving an average of $168,792 per room. �Given that North Asian owners predominately own deluxe properties, we expect a continuation of the trend witnessed towards the end of 1999, with deluxe properties achieving a higher ratio of sales in 2000� predicted Mr Gibson.

In 1999 sales of Australian hotels (over $5 million) totalled over $500 million, 80% of which were four and five star properties. Although the trend in early 1999 was to invest in first class properties, investments in deluxe properties were more prevalant towards the year end, as witnessed in the sale of Lilianfels, Blue Mountains and The Observatory Hotel, Sydney to European based Orient Express. 

Hotel buyers are entering a solid operating climate, with Sydney continuing to enjoy international focus. With the lead up to the 2000 Olympics, Sydney recorded the highest market occupancy in Australia for the quarter at 73.1%. �Despite a slight decrease in Average Daily Rate (ADR) to $150, Sydney also recorded the highest Revenue per Available Room (RevPAR) of the quarter of  $109, an increase of 3.0% over the previous period� said Mr Gibson (see summary table below).

Of the other major markets, Darwin continued to be the star performer for the December quarter 1999 due to increased military and humanitarian activity in East Timor. The city experienced a strong 30.0% growth in occupancy and a massive 40.7% increase in Revenue per Available Room (RevPAR) to $68. In comparison, supply increases in Melbourne resulted in a decline in occupancy of 3.5%. This coupled with a slight reduction in ADR led to Mebourne recording a 3.8% decline in RevPAR to $101.

Despite the influx of new supply, it is anticipated that the increase in demand generated by the Sydney 2000 Olympic Games will sustain market occupancy and therefore operating performance during 2000. 
 

Major Australian Markets' Performance
December Quarter 1999
Market
Occupancy
% Change*
ADR
% Change*
RevPAR
% Change*
Sydney City 73.1% 3.4% $150 -0.3% $109 3.0%
Gold Coast 63.9% 1.8% $103 0.0% $66 1.7%
Brisbane City 63.1% 2.4% $101 -0.8% $64 1.6%
Cairns City 63.0% 1.9% $112 -1.9% $71 0.0%
Melbourne City 71.7% -3.5% $141 -0.3% $101 -3.8%
Adelaide City 71.9% -4.9% $114 1.2% $82 -3.8%
Perth City 71.8% 7.4% $104 -2.6% $75 4.5%
Cangerra 60.1% 2.0% $99 -1.2% $60 0.8%
Darwin City 70.7% 30.0% $96 8.3% $68 40.7%
Hobart 67.6% 0.0% $88 -7.5% $59 -7.5%
*Change over December Quarter 1998
Source: Jones lang LaSalle Hotels; ABS
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Contact:
Fiona Cregan
Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels Pty Limited 
Level 18  400 George Street Sydeny NSW 2000
tel + 61 2 9220 8777
www.joneslanglasallehotels.com
Also See: Mixed Results as the Australian Hotel industry Enters a Low Cycle / July 1999 
ASEAN Tourism Recovers: Part 2 / PATA / April 2000 

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