News for the Hospitality Executive |
Taxes and the Deficit
By
Kevin F. Reilly. JD, CPA
May 2012 Normally, this column is supposed to cover the tax changes over the prior year and how they impact the hospitality industry. Last year, we commented about how 2010 was an interesting year but little in the tax field had passed. 2010 was all about health care reform, the change in control of the House and the rise of the tea party. It was a very political and partisan year. If anything, 2011 was worse. Never has so little been accomplished by so many. Brinkmanship was the key word for 2011. It will be known more for what did not occur rather than what did. It is not unusual for partisan politics to take center stage in an election year. While 2011 was not, the race for the Presidency and control of the House and Senate began before all the winners from 2010 were known. Two major issues were preeminent during 2011. The first was the size of the deficit. To agree to an extension of the debt limit, the House (mainly the newly elected members) required substantial reductions but as a compromise, left it up to a House/Senate committee to recommend the cuts. Proposals were put forward to cut billions in spending while at the same time raising taxes. The “reform of the tax system” was not accomplished. As a result, automatic spending cuts of $1.2 trillion over ten years are to be made. In addition, without some action, the Bush tax cuts will expire at the end of 2012, resulting in substantial tax increases for 2013. The other issue was the extension of the temporary social security tax cut. For 2011, the employee share of Social Security Tax was reduced from 6.2 percent to 4.2 percent. Similar reductions were made for the self employed. However, Congress and the President were unable to agree on a method to pay to extend the benefit for the 2012 tax year. Not to be viewed as the Grinch, right before Christmas an agreement was reached to extend the tax break for the first two months of 2012. After the New Year, the President again raised the issue of extending the break for the rest of 2012. He proposed the same method of paying for it that had previously been shot down by the Republicans. However, in a surprise move, the Republicans (on the day this article was submitted) said they would not require this tax break to be offset with spending cuts. They realized that fighting this battle was a losing cause with the American people. As a result, the Social Security tax withholding rate for employees will remain at 4.2 percent for the remainder of the year. Hospitality Tax Issues Several tax issues are important for those in the hospitality industry. The IRS has established a Voluntary Classification Settlement Program (VCSP). This program will enable employers to voluntarily reclass workers for federal employment tax purposes and take advantage of audit protection and a reduced penalty framework. The VCSP is open to taxpayers currently treating their workers as independent contractors. The IRS continues its emphasis on foreign assets held by US taxpayers, including additional information reporting by both taxpayers and foreign financial institutions. The penalties are severe and enforcement is active. Two provisions passing at the end of 2010 which will have an impact on the industry are:
The Deficit and Debt Regardless of your political leanings, the size of the deficit and the federal debt is of concern (Figure 1). Because of politics, the raising of the debt limit has changed from something done on a regular basis to political chicken, with the realistic potential for a US default during the 2011 discussions. Chart One
Chart Two
The second chart (CBO Chart 1) shows the historical surplus or deficit. While we have been in a recession over the last few years, the size of the deficit rivals that from World War II. The third chart (CBO Chart 2) projects the deficit out until 2022. Both charts are from the Congressional Budget Office. Unfortunately, the CBO analysis is based on the law as it reads today. As such, it projects a rosy scenario with the deficit dropping to 1.5 percent of Gross Domestic Product. However, it is unlikely that all the automatic cuts will be made since so many of them relate to defense spending. Also, it appears unlikely that the Bush tax cuts will be allowed to expire in their entirety. As a result, the alternative scenario could occur, which is unsustainable. There is no easy solution. Too much of our budget is in entitlements, defense spending and interest on the debt. Without an increase in revenue, or the political courage to address entitlements, the problem will grow exponentially. The election cycle is continuous. The budget of the President and posturing of Congress are nothing more than election year politics. Both political parties already are geared up for elections so many of the hard decisions will not be made and the buck will be passed to the next Congress or even the next generation. * * * |
Contact:
Robert Mandelbaum |
Also See: | Taxes
and the Deficit; Summarizing Recent Federal Legislation Impacting Hotels
/ Kevin F. Reilly / May 2011 |
Taxes,
Deficits and Policy; Summarizing Recent Federal Legislation Impacting
Hotels / Kevin F Reilly / May 2010 |
|
Analyzing the Tax Implications of the Stimulus Legislation; Tax Breaks Not Large, Few Will Benefit Hospitality Industry / Kevin F Reilly / May 2009 | |
The Checks in the Mail; Congressional Action Impacting the Lodging Industry / Kevin F. Reilly / May 2008 |