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12 Predictions On the Future of Ski Resorts

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By Jeff Coy and Bill Haralson, January 2005

As we start Year 2005, here is our forecast on the future of ski resorts.  

1. Ski resorts that continue to focus on traditional skiers, aging baby boomers, will falter as this market is dwindling.  About 40 million skier visits annually for the last four years --- with no signs of growth.

2. Ski resort marketers that focus on young snowboarders will prosper.  The young snowboarder market is growing and will sustain the ski resort industry into future years.  Snowboarder visits to ski areas expanded 34.8% over the last four years.  

3. Successful ski resort marketers will broaden their appeal to all ages.  To survive, ski resort managers will widen their acceptance, expand recreation, provide more service, make lessons easier and create an environment of convenience and affordability for extended family gatherings.

4. Creating new facilities for snowboarders will be difficult for traditional ski resort owners.  Older ski resort owners will want to get out of the business rather than try to understand the trinity of the boarding lifestyle.  Younger members of family-owned & operated ski resorts will keep some businesses going.

5. More ski resort managers will focus on the boarding trinity: snow, concrete and water.  Future customers consist of board riders who worship snow, concrete and water because they can ride on all three surfaces.  Recently, some ski resort owners met with designers and consultants in the amusement industry to discuss new product innovations aimed at capturing the board riding market all year long.  

6. New facilities at ski resorts will be both indoor and outdoor.  Designers will focus on snowboarders, skateboarders and surf or wave boarders.  Applications are both indoor and outdoor.  
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Boarders like to: 
Facilities needed:
Snowboard Outdoor ski hills in winter
Indoor ski hills year round
Skateboard  Outdoor skateparks in summer
Indoor skateparks year round
Surf or Waveboard Outdoor wave parks in summer
Indoor wave parks year round
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7. More ski resorts will become four season resorts.  To survive and prosper, ski resorts will reinvent themselves as different products in different seasons.  Successful owners will adopt the four season strategy and capture year round revenues.  What�s the four-season strategy?  Here is it in a nutshell: (1) Expand winter recreation for multi-age visitors, (2) Expand summer recreation, (3) Expand spring and fall business with meetings & convention facilities, and (4) Follow the lead of three innovative ski resort owners: Sam Newman of Camelback Resort in Pennsylvania, Steve Kircher of Boyne Mountain in Michigan and Jerry Andres of Silver Mountain in Idaho.

8. Successful ski resorts will expand winter recreation for all ages.  In addition to downhill skiing, most traditional ski resort owners offer only snowtubing, cross-country skiing and snowshoeing.  Yet the list of possibilities is endless.  The smarter operators will add more excitement, such as snowmobiling, sleigh rides, dog-sledding, paragliding, air boarding, heli-skiing, bobsledding, ice-climbing and orienteering.  

9. More and more ski resorts will expand summer recreation.  Most resorts are highly seasonal, which means they generate revenues for only about 100 days or less and have expenses for 365 days.  The secret to financial success is to work toward becoming a four-season resort by adding recreation in the non-peak seasons.  More ski resorts will add mountain biking trails for their guests in summer.  Many ski resorts will add golf courses, hiking trails, scenic lift rides, ball courts, mountain bike lift service, fishing, horseback riding, mini-golf, disk golf and climbing walls --- to capture summer revenues.  In 1998, ski resort owner Sam Newman transformed his winter resort into a summer outdoor waterpark with waterslides, an activity pool and a lazy river.  It was the first time a ski resort ever made such as huge commitment ($4.2 million initial investment) to attract the family market in the summertime.  Summer visitors now exceed winter visitors!  

10. Ski resort owners will increasingly consider adding indoor waterparks.  Indoor waterparks attached to lodging are part of adopting the four-season resort strategy to capture revenues year round.  Indoor waterparks at ski resorts will increase skier visits, hotel occupancy, room rates and total revenues --- especially during weekends and holidays all year long and everyday during the summer when kids are out of school.  Steve Kircher is currently under construction with a 200-unit condo-hotel and a 58,000 sf indoor waterpark at Boyne Mountain Resort in northwestern Michigan.  Steve�s project is the first ski resort in the USA to build an indoor waterpark, which is expected to generate an additional $9.9 million in total resort revenues.  The Mountain Grand and its Avalanche Bay indoor waterpark will officially open on Memorial Day 2005.  More ski resort owners will follow Steve�s lead.

11. Ski resort owners will increasingly consider building condo-hotels.  Not only does adding an indoor waterpark build resort revenues, condominiumizing the hotel units raises equity for the developer and increases the chances for success.  By pre-selling the hotel units to individual condo owners, the resort developer reduces his equity requirement and finds it easier to obtain his construction loan for the project.  Often, these hotel units are rented as suites on a nightly basis to resort guests.  More and more ski resorts will be building condo-hotels with indoor waterparks.  In May 2004, Jerry Andres pre-sold 68-condo units within a 3-day period in Gondola Village at the base of Silver Mountain Resort in Kellogg, Idaho.  Construction will start soon on another 200-unit hotel with indoor waterpark.  

12. More ski resorts will attract spring & fall business with conference facilities.  After ski resort managers fill winter and summer capacities, there are still spring and fall seasons left to fill.  More and more ski resort owners, who make the commitment to becoming a four-season resort, will focus on attracting meetings & conventions during the spring and fall.  Indoor recreation facilities, including indoor waterparks, will add to the entertainment value of the resort and make it more attractive for spouses and children to attend the convention.

Jeff Coy is president of JLC Hospitality Consulting based in Rochester MN.  You can reach him at 507-289-7404 or email him at [email protected] or go to www.jeffcoy.com.  Bill Haralson is president of William L. Haralson & Associates of Richardson TX.  You can contact him at 972-231-7444 or email [email protected] or go to www.wlha-inc.com

Contact:

JLC Hospitality Consulting Inc
3320 Mayowood Road
Rochester, MN 55902
507-289-7404 tel
[email protected]
http://www.jeffcoy.com/
 

Also See: 17 Predictions On Future Resort Development / Jeff Coy and Bill Haralson / January 2005
18 Predictions About the Future of Hotel Waterpark Resorts / Jeff Coy and Bill Haralson / January 2005
Condominium Hotels: The Latest Strategy for Hotel Waterpark Resorts / October 2004
What Is a Waterpark --- Really? Blending Swimming Pools, Amusement/Theme Parks, Hotels & Resorts Calls for New Definitions / October 2004
Hotel Waterpark Resort Industry Report 2004; 14 New Hotel Waterparks Open, 32 Under Construction / October 2004
Hotel Waterpark Resorts - Construction Report 2004; 32 Are Under Construction or Breaking Ground in 2004 / Aug 2004
Ski Resorts Expand Year Round Revenues, Add Outdoor & Indoor Waterparks / Jeff Coy & Bill Haralson / May 2004
Jeff Coy and Bill Haralson Find a Way to Get Waterparks Flowing at Hotels and Resorts / April 2004
Hotel Waterpark Resort Industry Report - 2003 14 New Hotel Waterpark Resorts Open / October 2003
What�s It Going to Cost to Build a Hotel With an Indoor Waterpark? A Guide to Cost Allocations for Developers / Jeff Coy and Bill Haralson / May 2003
Hotel Waterpark Resort Industry Report - 2002 / Jeff Coy and Bill Haralson / Nov 2002
So You Want to Build a Hotel Indoor Waterpark / Jeff Coy and Bill Haralson / Sept 2002
Hotel Waterparks Grow Throughout Midwest, Product Ready for National Expansion / Bill Haralson and Jeff Coy / April 2002
Hotel Indoor Waterparks Boost Revenues, Extend Peak Season to Year Round / Jeff Coy, ISHC / January 2002
Wisconsin Dells Becoming a Land of Haves and Have-Nots; Waterpark Hotels Achieved 26 Points Higher Occupancy Than Regular Hotels in 2001 / April 2002


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